Why We Won’t See a Memorial Day-Related COVID-19 Bump

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  • During the pandemic, every major holiday in the United States was followed by a bump or surge in COVID-19 cases.
  • But now more than half the country has had at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.
  • This means that another surge is unlikely to happen.
  • Even if cases aren’t likely to overwhelm hospitals, experts point out that unvaccinated people are still at risk of COVID-19, especially since new transmissible variants are spreading.

Throughout 2020, major holidays in the United States were quickly followed by surges in COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and eventually deaths.

In the days following Memorial Day in 2020, for example, at least 14 states hit a new record in daily new COVID-19 cases.

This year, things look different.

Approximately 52 percent of the total U.S. population has received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine. On top of that, millions of Americans — more than 33 million— have contracted the coronavirus and likely have some degree of natural immunity.

The current level of immunity in the population — from both vaccination and previous infection — seems to have been enough to stave off a surge following Memorial Day gatherings this year.

This does not mean the pandemic is over or that COVID-19 is not a risk, especially to people who are not vaccinated.

We will continue to see new COVID-19 cases.

But by vaccinating the most vulnerable people first, we essentially took away the likelihood that COVID-19 will overwhelm our hospitals like it did in 2020.

Source: healthline